One of the most favorite strategies of PepperMill Casino is betting on the hot and cold numbers. But is it an effective one? Is it useful to follow in the long run? What are the basics? We will discuss it all in this article!
Hot numbers are the ones that pop up the most during a game. In contrast, cold numbers are those that barely make an appearance. You’ll often see these stats displayed in both online and live roulette games.
A player might bet on these hot numbers, as they believe that they could continue to come up and result in a win. This could be done by looking at the statistics of the previous rounds, or by making their own notes as the game progresses.
Other players may prefer to bet on cold numbers. They believe that since they have come up fewer times, they are more likely to come up next.
However, roulette is a casino game that totally depends on luck, so there is no 100% foolproof strategy!
The hot and cold numbers roulette strategy might work, but it has no statistical backing. Why? Because roulette uses a Random Number Generator (RNG). Each spin is thus totally random, with no connection to the previous one. In terms of exact odds, there is a 1/37 chance that a number will appear, and an 18/37 chance that a color will appear.
So, what is this strategy based on? While each spin is independent, the chance that a number, color repeats itselfs decreases exponentially:
1/37 chance per number
1/1.369 chance that the same number will be repeated
1/50.653 chance of a number coming up 3 times in a row
1/1.874.161 chance the same number will be repeated 4 times
What if instead of a number, you bet on a color?
48.65% (18/37) chance for a color
23.67% chase of the same color to be repeated twice
11.51% chance for 3 repetitions
5.60% chance for the color to come up four times in a row
In short, betting on a hot number in roulette (or color) is basically a matter of belief, superstition or faith. The RNG ensures that each spin is independent of the previous one, so a number that has appeared frequently or infrequently is irrelevant.
One spin has nothing to do with the previous one, but by considering the past results, you can use probability and statistics to your advantage. Statistics that focus on the difficulty of a color, range, or group repeating several times are particularly useful.
For example, in one round there are two possible color outcomes: red or black. But if we add another round, there are four: red+red, red+black, black+red or black+black. When keeping the zero in mind, the odds are 48.65% and 23.67%, instead of 50% and 25%, and they continue to decrease exponentially.
Ironically, betting on cold numbers makes more sense statistically, but once a black appears, you’re back to a 48.65% chance between red and black.
Topic | Summary |
---|---|
What are hot numbers in roulette? | Hot numbers are those that have appeared most frequently during a game, while cold numbers are the ones which appear less frequently. |
How is the hot numbers strategy used? | Players bet on hot numbers expecting them to continue appearing or on cold numbers believing they are due to appear. |
Does the hot and cold numbers strategy really work? | The strategy doesn’t have a statistical backing because each roulette spin is independent due to the RNG (random number generator). |
What can we take from the hot and cold numbers? | Each spin is independent, but understanding the probability of repeated outcomes can be useful. Betting on outcomes based on past results is more about belief than statistical certainty. |
Although hot and cold numbers is an interesting strategy, there are plenty of alternatives we have already explained, such as d’Alembert, James Bond system or Martingale
As with previous strategies, we recommend you try them first in demo versions such as XXXtreme Lightning Roulette.